In this paper, Robert Tinker (President of The Concord Consortium, itself worth a detailed look) describes the evolution of educational technology with an analogy to how steam first augmented, then replaced, wind-powered sails.
He details some of the future’s driving forces (Moore’s Law, open source) and some of the general classes of applications on the horizon (literacy tools, design tools and tools to work with concepts). One comment struck me as odd – “Why is there so little open source software for education?” I guess from where I’m sitting there doesn;t appear to be such a dearth. But then reading on it becomes clearer why one might think this – it is perhaps more the case that there is a lack of widely adopted *good* software, software that is usuable by non-technical users. – SWL